By Nemuel Ondima
A recent poll by Intel Research Solutions (IRS) has indicated an increase in support for William Ruto as the preferred Presidential candidate just a week before the August general election.
With a total of 29,857 respondents across Kenya’s 47 counties using the Electronic Database SMS Broadcasting Data gathering methodology via SMS, the IRS estimates Dr. Ruto’s popularity to be 53.1per cent and Mr. Odinga’s to be 44.2per cent.
Roots Party Presidential candidate George Wajakoya is now in third place with a popularity rating of 1.4per cent, while Wahiga Mwaure is in fourth place with a total of 0.2 votes in the overall poll.
The move appears to be in their favor as evidenced by studies indicating that their region’s support for the nation is gaining traction in light of the two leading candidates’ ongoing gains into numerous regions around the nation.
The updated statistics show a change in fortunes for the front-runners. Dr. Ruto’s popularity increased from 50.5per cent in a comparable survey taken on July 21, 2022, to 53.1per cent today, while the former prime minister’s popularity increased from 42.2per cent to 44.2per cent during the same time period.
This is an increase for the two front-runners for the presidency of 2.6 and 2.0 percentage points, respectively.
We may still expect slight changes in terms popularity of the main presidential contenders over the next seven days depending on the campaign approaches adopted by each of the political formations,” Mwangi said.
According to a poll, Odinga is doing well in the Nyanza, Nairobi, and Lower Eastern areas.
His highest levels of support are in Siaya (89per cent), Homa Bay (88.1per cent), Kisumu (80.7per cent), and Migori (81.5 per cent)
According to polls, Dr. Ruto continues to receive 25per cent of the vote in 43 counties, greatly exceeding the constitutionally required minimum of 24 counties. According to the survey, Odinga will receive 25per cent of the vote in 32 counties.
Dr. Ruto is most well-liked in Elgeyo/Marakwet County (91per cent), Kericho (89.5per cent), Nandi (89.5per cent), and Bomet (89.4per cent). (87 per cent). According to the research, Dr. Ruto receives the majority of support outside of the Rift Valley base in Tharaka Nithi County (81.5per cent), Embu (80.4per cent), Nyeri (80.3per cent), Nyandarua (78.2per cent) and Murang’a (75.3per cent).
Ruto’s frequent trips to the western region are said to have had a greater impact because the survey indicates that, if elections were held today, 47per cent of Kenyans would endorse Raila while 48.2per cent would vote in favour of Ruto candidacy from the same region.
According to the report, Ruto has increased his lead over Raila in the Northern Kenya region from 47 to 53 per cent over the same time period.
The results of the poll, according to IRS Chief Executive Officer Ms. Karen Mwangi, show that the presidential debate, which was only attended by Dr. Ruto, had no bearing on the poll because none of the questions were affected by it.
The results also show that the country’s overall percentage of undecided voters is 2.7per cent.